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7 de Março 2020 - 2 Escudos

Election results are in: coalitions are necessary to form a government

The election results have been published by the National Electoral Bureau and show a record breaking turnout of more than 87.5% of the citizens eligible to vote coming to the ballots. The final result shows a very close competition between the National Union and the National Democratic Party, with both of them winning around 33% of the votes, followed by the Socialist Party earning only 14% of the votes, with the smaller parties coming afterwards.

This is a huge increase for the right-wing populist National Union, riding on a wave of discontentment brought on by economical stagnation, and the recent expansion of the Rurikgrad Pact. A decade before, the National Union didn't even win a seat in the Assembly of the Republic, and four years ago they managed to get only 8%, now becoming the main party that broke the old two alliance system, called in Beiran politics, 'the turntable'.

While
opinion polls made right before the debate showed that the National Union would have even stood the chance to win more than half of the seats, it has been observed that the calls for the referendum to restore the monarchy and Anibal Cabral calling himself a "counter-revolutionary" have reduced the support they had, pushing them now to look for coalition partners, should they want to form a government.

The final results reported by the National Electoral Bureau show that the National Union took 33.5% of the votes, followed by the National Democratic Party with 32.5%, the Socialist Party with 14%, the Popular Party with 8%, the United Party of the South with 5%, the Liberal Initiative with 4% and the Green Party with 3%.

From this division of the Republican Assembly, the formation of the governing coalition will be hard, as the National Union did try in the past to befriend the Popular Party and the United Party of the South, by promising continued christian democratic policies to the first and autonomy to the Isle of Faro and Cabo da Sol to the second, but this gives them only 46.5% of the seats, in government and thus there is no chance for them to get through the vote to form a government. They will need to get some more support, but the Liberal Initiative, which could be their salvation is a longtime ally of the National Democrats and has no intention of supporting the right-wing alliance.

On the other side, the National Democrats have a chance to form a coalition government too, if they manage to get, besides the Liberal Initiative, the support of the Populars and the United Party of the South too, but that leaves them with only 49.5% of the votes to form the government and they will need to get the Green Party support them too. For that, the National Democrats will need to win back the friendship of the Populars and promise the Southerners a change from their traditional unitary policy towards more federalism. They did start that, but it has been said that local medium of education is not enough and autonomous budgetary powers should be given to them too.

The Socialists, because of their low number of votes have no chance of being in power, as even with the other small parties supporting them, they barely get only 34% of the votes. Their only chance will be to negotiate with the National Democrats in either offering them support and confidence or go even further and create a grand coalition, as a National Democratic, Socialist, Liberal, Green and Southern alliance would have 59.5% of the votes. Such a grand coalition was never seen before in Beiran history, as traditionally, the Socialist and ND party were the centre-left and centre-right rivals. It would also be seen as highly volatile.

Meetings between the party leaders will soon begin to discuss potential alliances and to see what type of government will Beira have, a minority government led by the National Union, or a grand coalition of the mainstream parties.

"It is clear that Anibal Cabral and his National Union managed to dislodge the National Democrats from their traditional place on the right half of the political axis and push them towards the centre. There are three ways of a government to be formed and I believe that while the grand coalition will be a premiere, The way Cabral proved to be a political loose canon, very self centred, not even his own party centred, but self centred and unpredictable, will make smaller party leaders try to stay away from him. This will mean that there are bigger chances for the South and the Populars to unite with the National Democrats, but they will try to gain the most out of it too. The problem with the mainstream party leaders will be that they need to offer good governance in this administration, because without it, the popularity of Cabral and his National Union will just rise from their own mistakes and at the next election, we will see them sweeping most of the seats in parliament," stated Netuno Morais, political analyst and professor at the Catholic University of Ribamar.

OTHER NEWS

Survey regarding the monarchy: O Independente has started it's own survey in regards to the monarchic question asked by Anibal Cabral and have asked the opinion of about 5,000 Beirans, on what their think regarding the restoration of the monarchy. A little less than 20% have stated that back in the days of the monarchy, the political and economical life was much more stable, and they preferred to return to that, while a little over 80% have stated that the republic was created as a revolt against absolutism and even if the proposed monarchy would be constitutional, republicanism is now a part of the Beiran identity and needs to be kept like this. Most of the supporters of the monarchy are part of the 60+ age group, which have seen the dictatorship of the Social Republic and have grown up in the poverty brought on by the chaos of the 3rd Republic, while the younger people have a more egalitarian, republican and secularist view on life. This makes the redaction wonder if the votes for the National Union are really supporting of the party or are a protest against the mainstream political factions.
2nd Gallian Summit begins: As the Gallian Summit begins in Solis in earnst, State Secretary Afonso da Costa represents the Republic of Beira and pushes the government's aspirations for integration and cooperation for all the sub-continent.
 

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We call on the new Beiran Government to engage with Montedoro directly on matters concerning such matters which do not require the involvement of the Serenien Government. It would be a positive manner in which a quicker ability to resolve issues will emerge.
 

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14 de Março 2020 - 2 Escudos

National Armed Forces begin exercise LITORAL 20

Taking place every year in the middle of March, the LITORAL exercises are the biggest military games organised by the National Armed Forces of the Republic of Beira, mobilising for it about a little than a third of the total soldiers and equipment used by the three main branches of the armed forces, the army, navy and air forces.

For this, the flagship of the National Navy, the battleship Igualdade has been put to the sea, together with five frigates and two submarines and have started a series of exercises in the Reman Sea to asses coastal defence capabilities and two amphibious assault ships and landing crafts will asses the capabilities of the marines to land on hostile shores during seaborne operations.


The National Army has mobilised more than 175,000 soldiers for this exercise, which will concentrate on the coastal defence and elastic defence strategies. More than 3,000 vehicles have been put in the field, for this exercise, which will test their operational proficiency in an assortment of environments, from the sandy highlands of the Terra Altas Orientais, to the woodlands of the Vale de Asnes and to the marshes found around Cebloar.

"The Litoral exercises are the biggest in the nation and probably in Southern Gallia and take place every year to ensure that the National Armed Forces are ready and present to defend the people, the nation and the republic. An efficient and proficient armed forces are extremely needed in the current geopolitical positioning, as tensions continue to rise and more and more nations join a military bloc, escalating tensions even more," stated Marshall Ricardo Campos, supreme commander of the National Armed Forces of the Republic of Beira.

OTHER NEWS
National Union leader blasts coalition: Anibal Cabral has condemned the leaders of the National Democratic Party and the Socialist Party, Pedro da Silva and Roberto Moreno respectively, for their "limited confidence and supply" agreement. "The people voted, and they voted the national union. They want a national union government, not this monstrous coalition. This is nothing but a dictatorship," he stated.
 

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Confederation of Montedoro
While we remain committed to ensuring the sanctity of our maritime claims, this Confederation also recognises the needs of the Beiran navy to ensure it is best prepared to serve and protect the citizens of the Republic. In light thereof, we are not perturbed by these exercises. However, we shall monitor the situation closely and shall request the Beiran Naval Command to ensure that the exercises do not affect the flow of maritime traffic.
Yours faithfully,
Christianne Emizzi
Directorix of Communications
 

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Ministry of Foreign Affairs
To the attention of the Beiran Foreign Office

I echo the words of my colleague from Montedoro, Furlanìe will be sure to keep its fleet at safe distance from the exercises, we hope they will be helpful, and extend an invitation to organise joint manoeuvres in a foreseeable future.

Incargât dal Forest
Minister of Foreign Affairs

Jacum Sordèl
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14 de Março 2020 - 2 Escudos

Chairman of the Revolutionary Workers' Party assassinated

This morning, firefighters, an ambulance and policemen rushed to the scene of an explosion in the Peixoto neighbourhood of Ribamar after a car exploded, shattering the windows of the nearby apartment block up to the 3rd floor and damaging nearby cars. There were 12 wounded by the shattered glass and only one death, namely Eleuterio Pereira, the chairman of the Revolutionary Workers' Party, who was in the car the moment it exploded.

The police started an investigation but it was quickly passed on the to the Bureau of State Security and the National Republican Guard after it was decided that it was a clear act of political terrorism, targeting Pereira. The bomb was activated the moment the car key was turned into the ignition, to start the engine, killing Pereira in it's explosion and wounding the others as the blast shattered the glasses of a nearby residential building.

Political violence has become an issue in Beira especially during the last electoral campaign, and has risen in intensity afterwards, as Anibal Cabral, the leader of the National Union has called for a new round of elections, not accepting the creation of the coalition of the centre right-wing parties that get limited confidence and support from the centre left-wing parties too. In his statements, Cabral has gone as far as to call the army to "clean up" the political class, which he has described as being filled with "oligarchs, rats and vampires that suck the blood of the people and the nation". His more and more radical rhetoric and calls for the creation of an authoritarian right wing, nationalist regime has been received with criticism, which has gone as far as escalating into street battles, as the National Union members were attacked a week ago by anti-fascist agitators.

As of yet, there have been no preemptive arrests and no organisation has stated yet that they are behind the attack, but many have pointed fingers at the National Union for having the motives to do such a thing after the Revolutionary Workers' Party is being suspected of being behind the disruptions of the NU protest marches and demonstrations.

The government has condemned the attack and Prime Minister da Silva has stated that there is now a worrying trend of political violence, with the left wing and right wing extremists going down a descending path that damages the democratic process. On the other side, the Roberto Moreno, which has pledged to offer limited confidence and support to the government, has criticised Prime Minister da Silva and President Pinto for ignoring the growing crisis, either out of incompetence, or going as far as to state they they revel in the atmosphere of tension as a way to make the National Union unvotable, painting them as the black sheep of the Beiran politics.

OTHER NEWS
Prometheism revived after 60 years: The chairman of the Socialist Party, Roberto Moreno has proclaimed that together with the People's Democratic Union, and the National Federation of Labour, the centre-left wing political factions will be reorganised into the Prometheist League, mimicking the old, now 60 years old defunct political party and ideology that existed in Beira and flourished in the first half, up to the middle of the 20th century. Describing themselves as an anti-fascist, anti-Marxist-Leninovist, Democratic Socialist Party, the Prometheist League inherited about a third of the seats in the Republican Assembly and some of the biggest trade unions in the country.
 

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14 de Março 2020 - 2 Escudos
Prometheist League puts pressure on the Government

The chairman of the Prometheist League, Roberto Moreno, together with the vice-leader, Cristiano Caetano, have stated in the Assembly of the Republic that the government must end it's policy of tension and escalation and put a stop to the continuous threats towards democracy posed by the National Union, first through their calls of a military coup, and the disbandment of the parliament, then by their continuous demonstrations which turn violent and lastly, in Caetano's words, the "crossing of the last red line, the assassination of their political rivals".

As much as the initial investigation on the car bomb that killed the leader of the Revolutionary Workers' Party, Eleuterio Pereira, has been as of yet inconclusive, as it is in it's very earliest phases, but there have been many voices condemning the National Union and their paramilitary wing, the Blueshirts for this, while a fraction of the members of the Revolutionary Workers' Party, a Marxist-Leninovist party following the line of Ivar have accused the socialists and Prometheists too of it, calling them "social fascists" and seeing them as being worse than the National Union.

Cristiano Caetano has stated that should the government continue to turn a blind eye to the actions of Anibal Cabral, there will be a number of ways of action that the Prometheist League can take, firstly it can stop it's limited confidence and support agreement with the government, and if that isn't enough it will be obligated to create it's own paramilitary wing to protect itself, as he condemned some members of the National Democratic Party that work in the Ministry of Interior for keeping the police away from the way of the Nationalist bands of vandals and rioters.

Should the Prometheist League break it's agreement with the government, the country's administration will be blocked, as the National Democratic Party and their allies will have insufficient votes to pass any bills into laws, but will still end up in power, as neither the National Union, nor the Prometheists have enough votes by themselves to bring the government down, and they will never cooperate. Should this happen, the only way Pedro da Silva and Maximinho Pinto will be able to run the nation will be through decrees, but those too can be blocked by the Constitutional Court, especially if it will create a precedent for a rule by decree.

To put further pressure on the government, the National Federation of Labour has issued a statement that a strike is in preparation and should the government do nothing, all their member trade unions might go on a strike for an undetermined period of time. If their threats end up being real and they would manage to mobilise, about 35% to 40% of the workingmen and women of Beira might go on strike, which would be a huge blow for the government.

As of yet, Prime Minister da Silva has condemned the National Union for what he called their "overly radical activism" but has issued no statements yet regarding the new position of the Prometheists and socialists. President Maximinho Pinto has barely mentioned the issue to the press, stating that there is no strategy of tension and the government is as appalled by the level of violence as the Prometheists are, but he hopes that the limited confidence and support agreement will continue.

OTHER NEWS
Faro Riviera prepares for opening: The Faro Riviera, best known tourist spot in Beira, situated on the western coast of the Isle of Faro and made out of the Madalena, Prainha, Piedade and Velas resorts is preparing to reopen it's gates to tourists from April, as the Himyari warmth is bringing good weather to the island too. The instability on the mainland concerns many hotel owners though as they expect reduced numbers of foreign tourists.
 

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25 de Março 2020 - 2 Escudos

Thousands participate at the funeral of Eleuterio Pereira

In a surprise move, more than three thousands participated to the funeral of Eleuterio Pereira, the late chairman of the Revolutionary Workers' Party. The National Republican Guard has expected no more than 500 at most, knowing the sectarianism and intransigence of the Marxist-Leninovist parties, but in the wake of limited protest of the Prometheists and inaction of the government in regards to the recent surge of political violence, Eleuterio Pereira has been seen by many as a martyr of the recent violence and a defender of the Beiran democracy, offering the Revolutionary Workers' Party a surge in popularity.
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Supporters of the RWP forming a Red Bloc as they marched at the funeral
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Eleuterio Pereira, was probably one of the youngest leaders of a marxist-leninovist party, as he was only 35 when he was assassinated. He started his life in a working class family, and was the first to graduate with a degree in humanities in his family, only to later become a welder in the Ribamar Navais shipyards. He became a member of the National Federation of Labour, but he left it after a few months, citing the inaction of the socialists in the labour struggle. He was known for his criticism in which he called the trade unions affiliated with the Socialist Party as colluding with the government and the employees so that any of their actions wouldn't have any impact at all. He later joined the marxist-leninovist party, first joining the rejectionist faction called the Communist Workers' Party and later, the one following the Ivar line, the Revolutionary Workers' Party. He had a huge influence in creating a third option for the working class, whom usually had to choose between the National Federation of Labour, which was social democrat, and the Christian Labour Syndicate, affiliated to the National Union, when he created the Red Labour Union, affiliated to marxist-leninovist parties following the Ivar line. He was seen as a rising start of Gallian communist politics, and if given more years, many have stated that they could have seen the Revolutionary Workers' Party become one of the big parties of Beiran politics.

His assassination has shattered those dreams and many leninovists point not that much towards the National Union, which they feel that in their patriotism towards the Beiran people and working men and women isn't that different from them, but towards the Socialists, later to become Prometheists, as they see those as colluding with the National Democratic government and the associations of employers. While Roberto Moreno and the Prometheists condemn the government of having a strategy of tension to make the corporatists and social democrats turn to violence, the Leninovists state that in reality, the strategy of tension is to push away the corporatists and communist by making them fight each other and create a two party system, between the National Democrats and Prometheists.

Following the Kadikistani fashion and guidelines, the image of the Beiran marxist-leninovist shows the clear influences coming from Ivar. Militaristic, patriotic, pushing for a sense of left-wing nationalism, the Marxist-Leninovists show a sense of patriotic duty in which the state is reformed to offer protection to the working class and the military is the main vanguard of the revolution. Thus, many of the marchers could be seen in militaristic clothing, flying as many national flags as the red party flags, many of them chanting for Beira to follow Bourgogne in it's struggle which they still call a "national liberation".

"We have been called to join the strike of the Prometheists, and the National Federation of Labour, to that we say no, because we know, that from the start, it is meant to only mimic supporting the working class, but in reality what they will do will be to create lists of strikers and give them to the National Democrats and the government. That's what they do, they call strikes, they see who are the ones who really aggitate for workers' liberation and they make them disappear. That has happened in Beira for about a century already. Now, if people will disappear, they will frame the National Union for it. We know their game. We will at some point call for a strike. At the right moment, not when social capitalists want us to do it. To our comrades, that cried and felt that there will be no future without Comrade Pereira, to them, I say only this: A Luta Continua!" stated the vice-chairman of the Revolutionary Workers' Party, Eduardo Neves.

OTHER NEWS
National Union to hold new protest:
Anibal Cabral has announced a new protest in the Praça do Comércio in Ribamar, after the one that took place last week was disrupted by anti-fascist agitators and escalated on a street fight. The National Republican Guard has stated that they recommend against it, but they know that the National Union has the right to do it and thus stated that they will offer a heavy presence to avoid the events from a week ago.
 

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Foreign Ministry of the Burgundian People's Republic

" We in Free Bourgogne condemn the political violence taking place in Beira and mourn the tragic death of Eleuterio Pereira who has become in death what he was in life, a beacon of democracy and socialism for the Beiran people. The People's Republic calls on the government of Beira to find the perpetrators of this vile act and punish them to the full extent of the law".

Aerlene Bouchard, Foreign Minister of the Burgundian People's Republic.
 
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