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A warning, a question and a much needed answer (ATTN: Bourgogne, Eiffelland, Retalia)

Polesia

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Hand delivered to the Burgundian, Eiffellandian and Retalian embassies in Amstov by secure courier, addressed to their respective heads of government and state


DEAR SIR(S)

Only hours ago did our embassy in Ivar receive the attached files, which include a letter warning of an imminent Kadikistani invasion, as well as official military documents detailing troop movements and planned attack vectors.

Despite having analysed surveillance footage of our embassy compound, we have been unable to identify the sender, who claims to be a senior source within the Kadikistani armed forces.

However, our own intelligence services believe the files to be authentic, especially given Kadikistan has just mobilised its entire Western Direction, which covers all its military assets from the Kalahari Ocean to the Lyric Sea, and therefore the entirety of our shared border.

This all said, I must confess our analysts are divided over the motivations of the sender: are they a genuine friend of Trivodnia trying to warn our small nation of its impending doom? Or is it a Kadikistani agent trying to provoke us into launching a first strike? We cannot know for sure.

Regardless, our national security situation grows increasingly precarious by the day. Having initially thought it was General Alexander Radek who launched the failed palace coup in Banja Luka, we now believe it have been a false flag operation by Raoul Farrago, most likely with Kadikistani assistance.

While publicly we continue to maintain our distance with General Radek, in supreme confidence we have been supporting his rebel forces materially, financially and with intelligence where possible. But we have great doubts on his ability to enact regime change in Crotobaltislavonia and remove Kadikistan's military presence.

Sources within refugee camps also suggest Elben is organising separate militias to restore the previous monarchy, while we are also told local Jewish communities, which have been the victims of foul Crotobaltislavonian state propaganda, are beginning to arm themselves in anticipating of anti-Semitic pogroms. No doubt both Farrago and Ivar will likely try and blame the emergence of both resistance forces on us, just as they have with the coup.

This leads us to further believe Kadikistan will at some point, if not as imminently as the accompanying documents suggest, launch an attack on Trivodnia.

We are acutely aware that, for complex legal and historic reasons, Trivodnia has no formal alliance with any three of your nations. But for decades you have each individually publicly promised to guarantee our sovereignty and independence every time it has been threatened, and have done so again most recently.

While I do not want to downplay these words of solidarity and strength, which without a doubt have helped keep Kadikistan at bay for years, I need your governments to honestly tell me whether you will indeed come to our aid in the event of a Kadikistani invasion.

This is not to guilt you into action. But I am an elected politician, and thus aware of the pressures of democratic governance. No doubt many voters in your countries will legitimately ask why their blood is being spilled in a foreign land you have no legal obligation to defend. You will have to answer to those voters. But I need to know that answer before they do so I can do what is best for my own country.

PERSONALLY SIGNED

Meier Lauterpacht
President of the Free State of Trivodnia

Letter to the Trivodnian embassy in

Foreign friends,
in writing you I am risking my very life. But I am doing this not for myself, but for my family. I do not want to tell you too much, for fear of this letter falling into the wrong hands. Suffice to say, I am a source from within the Kadikistani military with enough access to secret documents to realize that my country is planning to invade yours. I write you, to warn you of this imminent threat and enable you to take action to prevent it.

I love my country dearly and I am proud of being Kadikistani, so this is a very difficult step for me. But realizing the danger a war would mean for close members of my own family, I have decided to take this step. Enclosed within you will find copies of secret Kadikistani documents that detail troop movements, as well as planned attack vectors. I have also managed to gain access to a document from intelligence services detailing plans for the post-war partitioning of your country and the rooting out of dissent after annexation.

Please act carefully and with wisdom upon the information and thwart the plans of my government before they lead to open war.

Sincerely,
a friend.
 
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Remuria

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Hand delivered to the secretariat of President Meier by the military attaché at the Embassy in Amstov, already known through operation "Quoth the Raven"


Dear Sir,

Retalia will not allow an act of communist aggression against Trivodnia to go unpunished. In the event of a Kadikistani invasion, the Grand Duchy stands firm and holds fast in our resolve that the spread of Ivar's influence ends.

In the meantime, the Grand Duchy will explore options with Bergenheim to allow for military transit, as this would greatly facilitate things and logistics should we need to cross swords with Kadikistan.

Prime Minister
Walther Grauholzer
Grand Duchy of Retalia
 
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Rheinbund

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Hand delivered to the secretariat of President Meyer by the military attaché at the Embassy in Amstov

Streng geheim — Top secret

Dear Sir,

Eiffelland will assist Trivodnia in the case of an invasion. We will contact the Government of Bergenheim immediately to obtain right of passage for our troops and planes.

Matthias Graf von Seydewitz, Chancellor
 

Polesia

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Hand delivered to the Burgundian, Eiffellandian and Retalian embassies in Amstov by secure courier, addressed to their respective heads of government and state


YOUR EXCELLENCIES

Once more I am forced to write to you as it appears our nation is on the brink of war for having the temerity to seek stronger and deeper relations with fellow democracies in Gallo-Germania. If news reports on Serenien military activity are true, it would appear we are all in danger.

Clearly given the monumentous threat the Rurikgrad Pact poses, it is worth us coordinating joint diplomatic, and should it come to it, armed responses to their next move.

In order to try and deescalate tensions I will reach out to the Kadikistani leadership personally and publicly declare my intention to veto any attempt to further closely associate Trivodnia with the Trier Concord. We are a small country and cannot afford war, however we know there may be little we can do to stop Ivar: the Communists have long coveted our lands.

To that end I propose the following:

- the establishment of a joint command and intelligence-sharing centre

- begin exploring the possibility of a lend-lease programme for armaments

- covert deployment of special operations forces to Trivodnia

PERSONALLY SIGNED

Meier Lauterpacht
President of the Free State of Trivodnia
 

Rheinbund

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Hand delivered to the secretariat of President Meyer by the military attaché at the Embassy in Amstov

Streng geheim — Top secret

Dear Sir,

We will send a batallion of the RSK to Kadikistan, as well as several batallions of regular forces.

Dr. Stephan Röpke, Chancellor
 

Polesia

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Hand delivered to the Burgundian, Eiffellandian and Retalian embassies in Amstov by secure courier, addressed to their respective heads of government and state


YOUR EXCELLENCIES

With war now once a dreaded reality rather than a grim threat, I propose we acelerate the following:

- the establishment of a joint command and intelligence-sharing centre

- the implementation of a lend-lease programme for armaments and expanding financial aid to the Free State Self Defence Force as well as humanitarian assistance

- deployment of both conventional and special operations forces to Trivodnia while still supporting counter-offensive efforts in Occitania

- inform Bergheimer government Retalian and Eiffellander military assets will be passing through Bergenheimer airspace to conduct military operations in Crotobaltislavonia and Trivodnia. We see the likelihood of any military response as low risk

- Focus on neutralising remaining military assets in Crotobaltislavonis and establish a secure air bridge but avoid full occupation and instead back militia groups favourable to us

PERSONALLY SIGNED

Meier Lauterpacht
President of the Free State of Trivodnia
 

Rheinbund

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Streng geheim — Top secret

Please consider the lend-lease programme in place. We will deliver as soon as possible.

A joint command centre is indeed needed.

We have permission to use Bergenheim's airspace. We will check for the use of Bergenheim's soil as well, so that we can transport land forces.

We contacted the Retalians. They will take up the defence of Occitania.

PERSONNALLY SIGNED

Ferdinand Jung, Minister of Defence, commander-in-chief
 
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