Tyvia
Establishing Nation
From: The Office of Anibalos Craissos Guiscaga,
CAP Convention Center, 144 Ruicca Avenue, Argoculc
To: The Office of Caios Commodos Suros,
2962 Císccomareva Street, Argoculc
CAP Convention Center, 144 Ruicca Avenue, Argoculc
To: The Office of Caios Commodos Suros,
2962 Císccomareva Street, Argoculc
Marsaín 7u, 1954
It's been a while since we spoke, and I fear that we'd only both open old wounds should we talk now. So instead I write, in the hopes that you will still understand my conscience if no longer be burdened by it. I can feel a decision point drawing ever closer, and I pray we are not drawn into the partisan politics of the last decade by moving forward now.
I'm sure you've been following the news. How can you not, when you're gaining so much? What an ironic, and wonderful stroke of fortune it must be, to have the líx himself do what you've wanted to forever. I cannot say I'm especially pleased by the action, but I won't make this letter leaden with complaints and lamentations. Instead, I will point out that we're now—indeed both of us—presented with an opportunity here. The electoral balance will be disrupted quite heavily come the 22nd, plain and simple fact. I'm doubtful that there'll be anything like a majority, perhaps not even a plurality, for any one party. I hate to do it, but I'd like to ask you to take a gamble.
The CAP can swing both ways on the 22nd. Polls aren't helping us figure it out either way just yet, but it might get clearer once these protests quiet down—though only god knows when that will be. Either our votes crash monstrously low due to the dissolution, or they surge upward in reaction. My money's on the latter, and we're doing our best to galvanize our demographic and remaining constituents. There's nothing quite like righteous fury, eh?
Realistically, though, we can fall anywhere between 15% and 30%, I'd say. For the VV and you, my analysts expect a jump up to 20% at the most, with 15% being most likely. Either way, there's no majority, and probably no clear plurality. Turn-out should be high for this one, all thanks to the líx, so we may get atypical results. Regardless, we've worked together before, and we can work together now: it's time for coalition. I can't see the LIV getting any higher than 25%, nor will they ever form a coalition with Molcagga, Loccudos, or them with each other. If we do, however, we'll have a definitive plurality in the worst case, and a definite majority in the best. It's possible to perhaps even bring the BP in, should it be necessary.
Send me your thoughts and response ASAP.